[Question] Probability in halloween event Boxes

[Blemental]

Large Treat Box (120 candies) contains 2 of:
* Money ($500k - $1m) [probability: 50%]
* Drugs: Cocaine (15g - 25g) [probability: 50%]
* Materials (12k - 25k) [probability: 40%]
* Namechange [probability: 40%]
* Numberchange [probability: 40%]
* Random Vehicle [probability: 40%]

XXL Treat Box (240 candies) contains 2 of:
* Money ($1m - $3m) [probability: 50%]
* Drugs: Cocaine (25g - 50g) [probability: 50%]
* Materials (25k - 40k) [probability: 40%]
* Namechange [probability: 20%]
* Numberchange [probability: 20%]
* Random Vehicle [probability: 10%]
* Premium vehicle claim [probability: 5%]
* Premium account balance (1 EUR - 5 EUR) [probability: 5%]

The sum of probability should be 200% for two item boxes... but in large boxes the sum of probability is 260 which not make sence... so I assume it is wrong. Anyone knows currect probability/is? (It will effect the value of 2x Large box vs xxl box currently if in large box we hsve 40% vehicle chance so it has way more value)

[PhiliP]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

[Blemental]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

[PhiliP]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

Well, I believe my method is supposed to work correctly. Plus, it's 15.38 and some change that's why I said APPROXIMATELY 15.4

[Blemental]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

Well, I believe my method is supposed to work correctly. Plus, it's 15.38 and some change that's why I said APPROXIMATELY 15.4

I edited, just saw that 2.6/100 thing, after read itcompeletlyz get it and edited. But I dont think woot means using this method couse at the end there is no point of using percentage like this

[PhiliP]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

Well, I believe my method is supposed to work correctly. Plus, it's 15.38 and some change that's why I said APPROXIMATELY 15.4

I edited i just saw that 2.6/100 thing, after I read compeletly I get it and I edited. But I dont think woot means using this method couse at the end there is no point of using percentage like this

In that case, it might mean that you need to open 4 boxes out of 10 (40%) or 2 boxes out of 5 to get X reward. That makes sense more than my method pretty much.

[PhiliP]

ur method is correct but having percentage of 200%+ is stupid, and it should be 100% so you get a better feeling what your odds are. If you say 40% out of 200% that's just 20%...

I agree with that.

[Blemental]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

Well, I believe my method is supposed to work correctly. Plus, it's 15.38 and some change that's why I said APPROXIMATELY 15.4

I edited i just saw that 2.6/100 thing, after I read compeletly I get it and I edited. But I dont think woot means using this method couse at the end there is no point of using percentage like this

In that case, it might mean that you need to open 4 boxes out of 10 (40%) or 2 boxes out of 5 to get X reward. That makes sense more than my method pretty much.

And it is even more complicated btw thanks for your reply

[Blemental]

ur method is correct but having percentage of 200%+ is stupid, and it should be 100% so you get a better feeling what your odds are. If you say 40% out of 200% that's just 20%...

That's why I think it's a misstype or sth

[PhiliP]

Not really, since, having a probability of 40% / 260% means that you have a probability of 40 divided by 2.6 / 100% which is approximately 15.4% of chance.

Hello, I don't think so. We're using percentage to get a better feeling about fractional numbers. If we wanna use this method 40/100÷260/100 then clear both 100 from up and down... you see why we used percentage in first place...!?

Well, I believe my method is supposed to work correctly. Plus, it's 15.38 and some change that's why I said APPROXIMATELY 15.4

I edited i just saw that 2.6/100 thing, after I read compeletly I get it and I edited. But I dont think woot means using this method couse at the end there is no point of using percentage like this

In that case, it might mean that you need to open 4 boxes out of 10 (40%) or 2 boxes out of 5 to get X reward. That makes sense more than my method pretty much.

And it is even more complicated btw thanks for your reply

It simply means that you need to open 5 boxes to get it 2 times.

[Blemental]

It simply means that you need to open 5 boxes to get it 2 times.

I should add this: In Other boxes the sum of probability is 100% for 1 item boxes and 200% for 2 items boxes...

[Wout]

1 event and 100 questions about it, enjoy it while it last

[Forbidden]

1 event and 100 questions about it, enjoy it while it last

[Minnie]

This thread is now archived.